Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.005557 0.006133 0.006729 0.007389 0.008100 0.008841 0.009671
2025-02-09 0.004615 0.005434 0.006324 0.007357 0.008520 0.009784 0.011258
2025-02-16 0.004147 0.005116 0.006205 0.007511 0.009027 0.010721 0.012749
2025-02-23 0.003671 0.004720 0.005935 0.007434 0.009219 0.011262 0.013761
2025-03-02 0.003334 0.004447 0.005772 0.007446 0.009484 0.011863 0.014828
2025-03-09 0.003171 0.004365 0.005819 0.007694 0.010020 0.012780 0.016272
2025-03-16 0.002956 0.004197 0.005743 0.007776 0.010341 0.013434 0.017403
2025-03-23 0.002797 0.004087 0.005726 0.007920 0.010734 0.014173 0.018640
2025-03-30 0.002666 0.004000 0.005730 0.008083 0.011145 0.014935 0.019916
2025-04-06 0.002427 0.003752 0.005505 0.007935 0.011147 0.015177 0.020536
2025-04-13 0.002269 0.003604 0.005405 0.007941 0.011341 0.015657 0.021459
2025-04-20 0.002080 0.003399 0.005214 0.007813 0.011348 0.015892 0.022065
2025-04-27 0.001930 0.003245 0.005092 0.007781 0.011490 0.016314 0.022937
2025-05-04 0.001789 0.003096 0.004969 0.007741 0.011618 0.016720 0.023795
2025-05-11 0.001721 0.003052 0.004992 0.007902 0.012019 0.017491 0.025142
2025-05-18 0.001589 0.002901 0.004851 0.007822 0.012082 0.017806 0.025885
2025-05-25 0.001494 0.002801 0.004777 0.007834 0.012270 0.018288 0.026855
2025-06-01 0.001469 0.002812 0.004872 0.008092 0.012809 0.019256 0.028493
2025-06-08 0.001403 0.002751 0.004851 0.008177 0.013099 0.019886 0.029678
2025-06-15 0.001357 0.002719 0.004874 0.008327 0.013485 0.020651 0.031058
2025-06-22 0.001318 0.002698 0.004911 0.008497 0.013901 0.021462 0.032511
2025-06-29 0.001211 0.002551 0.004741 0.008342 0.013835 0.021594 0.033023
2025-07-06 0.001145 0.002472 0.004678 0.008349 0.014005 0.022059 0.034002